It’s
Not the People You Know. It’s Where You Are
By
FIBER
networks cross the world. Data bits move at light speed. The globe has been
flattened, and national boundaries obliterated. Yet in
Meet
the “20-minute rule” that guides fateful decisions in
Mr.
Johnson explained that close proximity permits the investor to provide
in-person guidance; initially, that may entail many meetings each week before
investor and entrepreneur come to know each other well enough to rely mostly on
the phone for updates. Those initial interactions are fateful. “Starting a
company is like launching a rocket,” Mr. Johnson said. “If you’re a tenth of a
degree off at launch, you may be 1,000 miles off downrange.”
Capital
and attention are lavished on entrepreneurs in the Valley as in no other place.
Ten years ago, when Dow Jones VentureOne began a quarterly survey of where venture
investments landed, one-third of all deals in the country went to the San
Francisco Bay Area. Since then, the same share of deals has gone to the same
place, almost without variation. Most recently, in the first six months of this
year, Silicon Valley still pulled in 32 percent; the region with the
second-largest total,
The
latest wave of innovation, embodied in Web 2.0 companies, is centered in
How
well is the Valley doing in incubating this newest crop of start-ups? Ask the
investors at YouTube, who
are celebrating Google’s $1.65
billion deal for a company that was all of 19 months old. Or look at Google’s
own record of growth: building a market capitalization of $141 billion in only
eight years.
YouTube and Google share the same source of venture financing: Sequoia Capital, situated among the venture capital firms
clustered in a handful of blocks in office parks along
Why
so many of these firms, which form the world’s most concentrated source of
capital for new ventures, originally collected in that particular spot, rather
than, say, outside the Massachusetts Institute of Technology or the California Institute of Technology, is not important;
what is important is that this is where they happen to be today.
Sequoia
makes its preference for the 20-minute rule almost explicit, telling applicants
whose companies are at the “seed stage” (receiving less than $1 million) or
“early stage” ($1 million to $10 million) that “it is helpful if the company is
close to our offices” because they “require very frequent contact.”
Kleiner Perkins has only one office, the one in
If
you have a brilliant idea for the New New Thing and
want Sequoia to provide its funds and blessing — using the same golden touch
provided not long ago to Google’s founders — you would be much better off in
It’s
convenient for venture capitalists to have entrepreneurs close by, but the
reverse is true, too, said Allen Morgan, a managing director of the Mayfield Fund, which manages $2.3 billion in venture capital
and is also on
Even
if the process goes smoothly and requires only 15 meetings — the fewest
possible, given the lowest range of possibilities — and even if most of those
meetings are set up in advance, the time consumed in getting to Sand Hill Road,
even using local highways, can be significant. The problem is that much worse
when, as often happens, a meeting is called with just an hour or two of notice.
“If you live in
Entrepreneurs
who live in
The
ecosystem in
“In
On
the East Coast, a business plan contest at the Harvard
He
did end up needing
“Elsewhere,
if people in a large organization think you have potential, they offer you a
job, trying to save you from the uncertainties of a start-up,” said Mr. Sengupta, who himself has worked at Oracle, Microsoft and General Motors.
“In
Mr.
Sengupta now has six “employees” working for BeyondCore without salaries. Only in
Predictions
of the Valley’s demise have become a perennial, said Mr. Morgan, the Mayfield
venture capitalist. “Every five years, Time or Newsweek runs a story: ‘
MR.
JOHNSON, the venture capitalist in
It’s
harder for entrepreneurs to meet with one another and with investors, he added.
And that means connections take longer, deals move slowly, fewer companies are
formed. “Like a gas, entrepreneurship is hotter when compressed.” he said.
Why,
one might ask, must relationships be built only by physical presence? Why, if
the phone does not serve well, cannot the newest generation of
videoconferencing gear — which provides stunning video to accompany sound —
save the various participants from the vexations of getting together in person?
Mr.
Morgan of Mayfield scoffed at the suggestion of virtual meetings as a feasible
medium of establishing trust in business. He said that if the matter were important — and human beings were involved — he
believed that there would never, ever be a replacement for face-to-face
meetings.